Missed Group H · Match 14 FT 0–0
1 82% X 12% 2 6%
Spain enter as overwhelming favorites against a Cape Verde side making their historic World Cup debut. No prior tournament form exists for either team, but Spain's pedigree and squad quality massively outweigh the opposition. Key players Rodri, Pedri, and Lamine Yamal are available, with Yamal's inclusion confirmed after recovering from injury. Cape Verde, despite heroic qualification, lack the top-level experience and depth to compete with a European powerhouse. The predicted lineup shows Spain fielding a near full-strength XI, suggesting a controlled, dominant performance. Probabilities reflect the clear gulf in class, with a 3-0 scoreline typical of such mismatches. A draw or Cape Verde win would require an extraordinary upset, hence the low probabilities assigned.
Group H · Match 37 Sun, Jun 21
1 80% X 15% 2 5%
With no prior matches played in Group H, Uruguay’s status as a consistent South American power with players like Darwin Núñez and Federico Valverde suggests they will control this opener. Cape Verde, a smaller football nation likely making their World Cup debut, face a significant quality gap. The Hard Rock Stadium in Miami is essentially neutral, but Uruguay’s greater tournament experience should allow them to dominate possession and create chances. A 2-0 scoreline aligns with typical low-risk victories when a stronger side faces a weaker opponent early in a group stage, while a draw remains a plausible outsider result given the absence of competitive data to assess current form. The win probability cap of 0.82 is respected, and the draw at 0.15 reflects a cautious margin for an opening match surprise.
Group H · Match 65 Fri, Jun 26
Cape Verde
1-2
Saudi Arabia
1 25% X 35% 2 40%
No new evidence has emerged since the prior call. Both teams are yet to play in the tournament, and squad news is unavailable. Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia are both aiming for a positive start, but Saudi Arabia's superior experience and technical quality give them a slight advantage. Cape Verde are capable of scoring but likely to fall short. The match is expected to be tight, with Saudi Arabia edging it 2-1. Confidence remains low due to the lack of concrete data.