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Group F · Match 35 · Sat, Jun 20
Netherlands
VS
2-1
Correct
Sweden
NRG Stadium Watch: Memphis Depay
Congratulations, Netherlands! A 5–1 result to savour — the campaign rolls on. Keep it going, fans behind you all the way!
CALLED IT
Right result — we tipped Netherlands.
Predicted 2–1 · final Netherlands 5–1 Sweden.
50%
Netherlands win
30%
Draw
20%
Sweden win
Most likely scorelines · Poisson model
1-111%
1-010%
2-110% our pick
Prediction Updates & Analysis
2026-06-152-1medium confidence
Sweden's 5-1 thrashing of Tunisia and Netherlands' 2-2 draw with Japan suggest Sweden's attacking prowess may be underestimated; adjusting probability to reflect increased likelihood of Sweden getting a result.

Netherlands enter as slight favorites based on overall squad talent, but their opening 2-2 draw with Japan exposed defensive vulnerabilities. Sweden, fresh from a dominant 5-1 win over Tunisia, arrive with confidence and a potent attack led by Isak and Kulusevski. The group dynamics favor Sweden, who can defend deep and counter, while Netherlands must push for a win to avoid pressure. Both sides are likely to score, making a tight contest probable. A 2-1 scoreline reflects Netherlands' slight edge in quality, but Sweden's form warrants a higher chance of a draw or surprise loss. The match is expected to be open, with goals on both ends, but the Dutch should have enough to edge it late.

  • Netherlands drew 2-2 with Japan, while Sweden won 5-1 vs Tunisia, showing strong attacking form.
  • Group stakes: Netherlands need a win to boost hopes, Sweden lead group and can play with confidence.
  • Higher individual quality in Netherlands squad suggests they edge it, but Sweden's Isak and Kulusevski pose threats.
Netherlands · DWW
Sweden · WLD
#

Standings

#TeamPWDLGF:GAPts
1Netherlands321010:47
2Japan31207:35
3Sweden31117:74
4Tunisia30032:120
VS

More Group F Predictions

Missed
Group F · Match 11FT 2–2 missed
Netherlands
2-0
Japan
1 75%X 18%2 7%
No significant team news updates; prior prediction stands.
Correct
Group F · Match 12FT 5–1 called
Sweden
2-0
Tunisia
1 65%X 25%2 10%
No significant team news for either side; prior prediction stands. Sweden's set-piece dominance and physical edge with Isak remain decisive.
Correct
Group F · Match 36FT 0–4 called
Tunisia
0-1
Japan
1 60%X 25%2 15%
Tunisia opened with a heavy 5-1 defeat to Sweden, exposing critical defensive flaws. Japan's 2-2 draw against the Netherlands, a top side, demonstrated resilience and attacking potency. With Japan technically superior and carrying momentum, they are clear favorites. Tunisia will likely defend deep and seek counters, but their attack looked blunt against Sweden. Japan's quick transitions, orchestrated by Kubo, can unlock Tunisia's backline. A tight, low-scoring contest is expected, with Japan edging it by a single goal. However, Japan's defense showed some vulnerability, leaving room for an upset if Tunisia can capitalize on set-pieces. The draw remains a plausible outcome if Tunisia park the bus effectively.
Exact
Group F · Match 57FT 1–1 exact
Japan
1-1
Sweden
1 30%X 35%2 35%
Japan's 2-2 draw with a strong Netherlands side is a better performance indicator than Sweden's 5-1 demolition of minnows Tunisia. Both teams enter with offensive momentum, but the lack of further squad or form data makes a draw the most calibrated outcome. Sweden may edge possession, yet Japan's proven ability to score against top defenses suggests a tight, balanced contest. 1-1 reflects both teams finding the net, consistent with their opening matches. Confidence is low due to sparse, early-tournament evidence.
Correct
Group F · Match 58FT 1–3 called
Tunisia
0-3
Netherlands
1 75%X 15%2 10%
Netherlands enter as clear favorites, though their opening 2-2 draw with Japan exposed defensive vulnerabilities. Tunisia were overwhelmed 5-1 by Sweden, suggesting a significant gulf in quality. Given these results, Netherlands' attacking talent led by Memphis Depay should exploit Tunisia's frail backline, likely securing a comfortable victory. The lack of injury news leaves both sides at full strength, though Tunisia's morale may be low after the heavy defeat. Expect Netherlands to control possession and break down Tunisia's defense, leading to multiple goals. A 3-0 scoreline reflects the expected dominance without being overly aggressive, aligning with historical patterns in such mismatches. While Netherlands' draw tempers absolute certainty, Tunisia's poor form makes an upset unlikely. The confidence is medium due to limited team-specific information.
Netherlands squad & fixtures →Sweden squad & fixtures →
Predictions are generated by an AI model from historical and public data, for entertainment and informational purposes only. Not betting advice.