United States enter this match in commanding form after thumping Paraguay 4-1, displaying fluid attacking football and clinical finishing. Turkey, in contrast, were thoroughly outplayed by Australia in a 2-0 defeat, revealing vulnerabilities at the back and a lack of cutting edge. SoFi Stadium provides a de facto home advantage for the Americans, who will feed off the energy of a partisan crowd. With qualification at stake, the USA's pressing and quick transitions should again prove decisive. Turkey possess individual quality but appear disjointed; they may find the net from a set piece, yet the USA's overall cohesion and superior match sharpness point to a narrow but deserved victory.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF:GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United States | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |